Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.605944 11.862133 13.244701 14.885702 16.788595 18.935607 21.555293
2025-11-23 8.648667 10.230494 12.099414 14.492318 17.506328 21.219327 26.206537
2025-11-30 7.615338 9.352250 11.505402 14.411330 18.294096 23.396363 30.768519
2025-12-07 6.675518 8.429598 10.683781 13.850925 18.281802 24.411410 33.812081
2025-12-14 5.890218 7.604284 9.871425 13.162440 17.944399 24.851125 35.999003
2025-12-21 5.382857 7.091089 9.411134 12.882772 18.110708 25.980025 39.331891
2025-12-28 5.424368 7.323657 9.988240 14.128627 20.650869 31.002617 49.754936
2026-01-04 5.189830 7.139314 9.943113 14.429137 21.750970 33.875853 57.051668
2026-01-11 4.809581 6.710827 9.497553 14.057873 21.709569 34.813179 60.966137
2026-01-18 4.654436 6.601612 9.519045 14.420843 22.918974 38.069950 69.948850
2026-01-25 4.370572 6.276002 9.178768 14.155180 23.003330 39.283088 75.008506
2026-02-01 4.143629 6.022152 8.930876 14.017554 23.291938 40.905629 81.257803
2026-02-08 3.925438 5.776547 8.691701 13.896794 23.642619 42.790352 88.759929
2026-02-15 3.683022 5.477925 8.345945 13.559965 23.551809 43.780566 94.433430
2026-02-22 3.512163 5.283186 8.157138 13.483765 23.950803 45.847962 103.305500
2026-03-01 3.277746 4.970496 7.747996 12.967935 23.413940 45.799176 106.621367
2026-03-08 3.041883 4.643111 7.294194 12.333484 22.570196 44.948676 107.556888
2026-03-15 2.887217 4.443521 7.049689 12.075580 22.482324 45.824269 113.666930
2026-03-22 2.966430 4.642712 7.515797 13.223649 25.523238 54.649758 146.582475
2026-03-29 2.905882 4.597221 7.539893 13.500259 26.685868 59.066814 167.233022
2026-04-05 2.761277 4.397304 7.270008 13.158506 26.399472 59.667336 174.895026
2026-04-12 2.718631 4.374950 7.326200 13.492626 27.729268 64.858752 201.450278
2026-04-19 2.602351 4.215173 7.115293 13.248095 27.645287 66.099975 213.228847